Calculation: What Requirements Must the Black Stars Fulfill to Reach the 2023 AFCON Knockout Stage?

Cape Verde has secured their spot in the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) Round of 16 with two victories, topping Group B. While Cape Verde is guaranteed a place in the knockout stage, the other teams in Group B still have a chance to qualify for the Round of 16.

Here are the possible scenarios for Ghana’s qualification:

1. Scenario 1: If Ghana wins against Mozambique and Egypt loses to Cape Verde, Ghana would finish second in the group, advancing to the Round of 16 as runners-up. They would face the runners-up from Group F (Morocco, DR Congo, Zambia, or Tanzania).
2. Scenario 2: If Ghana wins against Mozambique and Egypt draws against Cape Verde, Ghana would secure a spot as runners-up and face the runners-up from Group F.
3. Scenario 3: If Ghana wins against Mozambique and Egypt also wins against Cape Verde, Ghana would finish third in the group with 4 points, giving them a strong chance of advancing to the Round of 16.
4. Scenario 4: If Ghana draws against Mozambique and Egypt wins against Cape Verde, Ghana would finish third with two points, needing to rely on other third-placed teams’ performances in different groups.
5. Scenario 5: If Ghana draws against Mozambique and Egypt draws against Cape Verde, Ghana would finish third with two points and must hope for worse performances from other third-placed teams in two other groups.
6. Scenario 6: If Ghana draws against Mozambique and Egypt loses to Cape Verde, qualification depends on the extent of Egypt’s loss. If the goal difference is equal, the team with more goals scores advances. If this is also equal, it comes down to disciplinary points, and if tied, a draw decides.
7. Scenario 7: If Ghana loses, regardless of Egypt’s result, the Black Stars will be eliminated.

As of now, Ghana awaits the outcomes of the third-placed teams in other groups before the decisive group stage game. Winning (by a large margin if possible) against Mozambique on Monday is crucial for Ghana’s best chances of advancement.

source:locotvgh.com